参考资料
逻辑回归函数
Python数据分析与机器学习-逻辑回归案例分析
案例内容
现在有一份学生两次考试的结果的数据
根据数据建立一个逻辑回归模型来预测一个学生的入学概率。
数据内容:两个考试的申请人的分数和录取决定。
# 导入相应的包
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib as mpl
import warnings # 警告处理
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import os
from matplotlib.font_manager import FontProperties
from sklearn.linear_model.coordinate_descent import ConvergenceWarning # 警告处理
%matplotlib inline
# 设置显示中文字体
my_font = FontProperties(fname="/usr/share/fonts/chinese/simsun.ttc")
# fontproperties = my_font
# 设置正常显示符号
mpl.rcParams["axes.unicode_minus"] = False
# 拦截异常
warnings.filterwarnings(action = 'ignore', category = ConvergenceWarning)
# 加载数据
# 从本地导入数据
path = '/root/zhj/python3/code/data/LogiReg_data.txt'
# header=0 是指将文件中第 0 行(一般理解应该是第一行)作为“列名”。
# 如果没有设置则默认取第一行,
# 设置为 None 的时侯 Pandas 会用自然数 0、1、2……来标识列名。
pdData = pd.read_csv(path, header=0, names=['test1', 'test2', 'result'])
# 为了区别header属性,用数据维度进行试验
pdData1 = pd.read_csv(path, names=['test1', 'test2', 'result'])
pdData2 = pd.read_csv(path, header=None, names=['test1', 'test2', 'result'])
print("查看前10行数据")
print("="* 31)
print(pdData.head(10))
print("="* 31)
print("查看数据维度")
print("header=0的数据维度:",pdData.shape)
print("header默认值的数据维度:",pdData1.shape)
print("header=None值的数据维度:",pdData2.shape)
查看前10行数据
===============================
test1 test2 result
0 30.286711 43.894998 0
1 35.847409 72.902198 0
2 60.182599 86.308552 1
3 79.032736 75.344376 1
4 45.083277 56.316372 0
5 61.106665 96.511426 1
6 75.024746 46.554014 1
7 76.098787 87.420570 1
8 84.432820 43.533393 1
9 95.861555 38.225278 0
===============================
查看数据维度
header=0的数据维度: (99, 3)
header默认值的数据维度: (100, 3)
header=None值的数据维度: (100, 3)
数据可视化
# 根据result把数据分为两类
positive = pdData[pdData['result'] == 1] # 返回result为1的数据
negative = pdData[pdData['result'] == 0]
# 设置图片大小,分辨率
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(20,8),dpi=80)
# 绘制散点图----s:标量,默认为20;c:散点颜色;marker:散点形状;label:标签
ax.scatter(positive['test1'], positive['test2'], s=30, c='b', marker='o', label='合格')
ax.scatter(negative['test1'], negative['test2'], s=30, c='r', marker='v', label='不合格')
# 设置图例
ax.legend(prop=my_font)
ax.set_xlabel('test1 Score') # 横坐标
ax.set_ylabel('test2 Score') # 纵坐标
# 展示图片
plt.show()
建立分类器
sigmoid函数:映射到概率的函数
sigmoid 函数介绍
def sigmoid(z):
return 1/(1 + np.exp(-z))
# 画出sigmoid图
nums = np.arange(-10, 10, step=1)
# 生成-10到10的向量(含头不含尾),步进为1,即[-10,-9,...,8,9]
print(nums)
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12,4))
ax.plot(nums, sigmoid(nums), 'r')
plt.show()
[-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9]
model 函数: 返回预测结果值
def model(X,theta):
return sigmoid(np.matmul(X,theta))
pdData.insert(0,'Ones',1)
pdData.head()
orig_data = pdData.as_matrix()
print(orig_data)
cols = orig_data.shape[1]
print(cols)
X = orig_data[:,0:cols-1]
y = orig_data[:,cols-1:cols]
theta = np.zeros([cols-1,1])
[[ 1. 30.28671077 43.89499752 0. ]
[ 1. 35.84740877 72.90219803 0. ]
[ 1. 60.18259939 86.3085521 1. ]
[ 1. 79.03273605 75.34437644 1. ]
[ 1. 45.08327748 56.31637178 0. ]
[ 1. 61.10666454 96.51142588 1. ]
[ 1. 75.02474557 46.55401354 1. ]
[ 1. 76.0987867 87.42056972 1. ]
[ 1. 84.43281996 43.53339331 1. ]
[ 1. 95.86155507 38.22527806 0. ]
[ 1. 75.01365839 30.60326323 0. ]
[ 1. 82.30705337 76.4819633 1. ]
[ 1. 69.36458876 97.71869196 1. ]
[ 1. 39.53833914 76.03681085 0. ]
[ 1. 53.97105215 89.20735014 1. ]
[ 1. 69.07014406 52.74046973 1. ]
[ 1. 67.94685548 46.67857411 0. ]
[ 1. 70.66150955 92.92713789 1. ]
[ 1. 76.97878373 47.57596365 1. ]
[ 1. 67.37202755 42.83843832 0. ]
[ 1. 89.67677575 65.79936593 1. ]
[ 1. 50.53478829 48.85581153 0. ]
[ 1. 34.21206098 44.2095286 0. ]
[ 1. 77.92409145 68.97235999 1. ]
[ 1. 62.27101367 69.95445795 1. ]
[ 1. 80.19018075 44.82162893 1. ]
[ 1. 93.1143888 38.80067034 0. ]
[ 1. 61.83020602 50.25610789 0. ]
[ 1. 38.7858038 64.99568096 0. ]
[ 1. 61.37928945 72.80788731 1. ]
[ 1. 85.40451939 57.05198398 1. ]
[ 1. 52.10797973 63.12762377 0. ]
[ 1. 52.04540477 69.43286012 1. ]
[ 1. 40.23689374 71.16774802 0. ]
[ 1. 54.63510555 52.21388588 0. ]
[ 1. 33.91550011 98.86943574 0. ]
[ 1. 64.17698887 80.90806059 1. ]
[ 1. 74.78925296 41.57341523 0. ]
[ 1. 34.18364003 75.23772034 0. ]
[ 1. 83.90239366 56.30804622 1. ]
[ 1. 51.54772027 46.85629026 0. ]
[ 1. 94.44336777 65.56892161 1. ]
[ 1. 82.36875376 40.61825516 0. ]
[ 1. 51.04775177 45.82270146 0. ]
[ 1. 62.22267576 52.06099195 0. ]
[ 1. 77.19303493 70.4582 1. ]
[ 1. 97.77159928 86.72782233 1. ]
[ 1. 62.0730638 96.76882412 1. ]
[ 1. 91.5649745 88.69629255 1. ]
[ 1. 79.94481794 74.16311935 1. ]
[ 1. 99.27252693 60.999031 1. ]
[ 1. 90.54671411 43.39060181 1. ]
[ 1. 34.52451385 60.39634246 0. ]
[ 1. 50.28649612 49.80453881 0. ]
[ 1. 49.58667722 59.80895099 0. ]
[ 1. 97.64563396 68.86157272 1. ]
[ 1. 32.57720017 95.59854761 0. ]
[ 1. 74.24869137 69.82457123 1. ]
[ 1. 71.79646206 78.45356225 1. ]
[ 1. 75.39561147 85.75993667 1. ]
[ 1. 35.28611282 47.02051395 0. ]
[ 1. 56.2538175 39.26147251 0. ]
[ 1. 30.05882245 49.59297387 0. ]
[ 1. 44.66826172 66.45008615 0. ]
[ 1. 66.56089447 41.09209808 0. ]
[ 1. 40.45755098 97.53518549 1. ]
[ 1. 49.07256322 51.88321182 0. ]
[ 1. 80.27957401 92.11606081 1. ]
[ 1. 66.74671857 60.99139403 1. ]
[ 1. 32.72283304 43.30717306 0. ]
[ 1. 64.03932042 78.03168802 1. ]
[ 1. 72.34649423 96.22759297 1. ]
[ 1. 60.45788574 73.0949981 1. ]
[ 1. 58.84095622 75.85844831 1. ]
[ 1. 99.8278578 72.36925193 1. ]
[ 1. 47.26426911 88.475865 1. ]
[ 1. 50.4581598 75.80985953 1. ]
[ 1. 60.45555629 42.50840944 0. ]
[ 1. 82.22666158 42.71987854 0. ]
[ 1. 88.91389642 69.8037889 1. ]
[ 1. 94.83450672 45.6943068 1. ]
[ 1. 67.31925747 66.58935318 1. ]
[ 1. 57.23870632 59.51428198 1. ]
[ 1. 80.366756 90.9601479 1. ]
[ 1. 68.46852179 85.5943071 1. ]
[ 1. 42.07545454 78.844786 0. ]
[ 1. 75.47770201 90.424539 1. ]
[ 1. 78.63542435 96.64742717 1. ]
[ 1. 52.34800399 60.76950526 0. ]
[ 1. 94.09433113 77.15910509 1. ]
[ 1. 90.44855097 87.50879176 1. ]
[ 1. 55.48216114 35.57070347 0. ]
[ 1. 74.49269242 84.84513685 1. ]
[ 1. 89.84580671 45.35828361 1. ]
[ 1. 83.48916274 48.3802858 1. ]
[ 1. 42.26170081 87.10385094 1. ]
[ 1. 99.31500881 68.77540947 1. ]
[ 1. 55.34001756 64.93193801 1. ]
[ 1. 74.775893 89.5298129 1. ]]
4
X[:5]
array([[ 1. , 30.28671077, 43.89499752],
[ 1. , 35.84740877, 72.90219803],
[ 1. , 60.18259939, 86.3085521 ],
[ 1. , 79.03273605, 75.34437644],
[ 1. , 45.08327748, 56.31637178]])
y[:5]
array([[ 0.],
[ 0.],
[ 1.],
[ 1.],
[ 0.]])
theta
array([[ 0.],
[ 0.],
[ 0.]])
X.shape,y.shape,theta.shape
((99, 3), (99, 1), (3, 1))
cost : 根据参数计算损失
目的是求平均损失的最小值
def costFunction(X,y,theta):
left = np.multiply(-y,np.log(model(X,theta))) # 同*,元素级乘法
right = np.multiply((1-y),np.log(1-model(X,theta)))
return np.sum(left-right)/(len(X))
costFunction(X,y,theta)
0.69314718055994529
gradient : 计算每个参数的梯度方向
def gradient(X,y,theta):
grad = np.zeros(theta.shape)
error = np.matmul(X.T,(model(X,theta)-y))
grad = error/len(X)
return grad
gradient(X,y,theta)
array([[ -0.10606061],
[-12.30538878],
[-11.77067239]])
descent : 进行参数更新
# 首先设定三种停止策略【迭代次数、损失值差距、梯度】
STOP_ITER = 0
STOP_COST = 1
STOP_GRAD = 2
def stopCriterion(type,value,threshold):
# 设定三种不同的停止策略
if type == STOP_ITER: return value > threshold
elif type == STOP_COST: return abs(value[-1]-value[-2]) < threshold
elif type == STOP_GRAD: return np.linalg.norm(value) < threshold
import time
def descent(data,theta,batchSize, stopType, thresh,alpha):
#梯度下降求解
init_time = time.time()
i = 0 # 迭代次数
k = 0 # batch
X,y = shuffleData(data)
grad = np.zeros(theta.shape) # 计算梯度
costs = [costFunction(X,y,theta)] # 损失值
while True:
grad = gradient(X[k:k+batchSize],y[k:k+batchSize],theta)
k += batchSize # 取batch数量个数据
if k >= n:
k = 0;
X,y = shuffleData(data) # 重新洗牌
theta = theta - alpha*grad # 参数更新
costs.append(costFunction(X,y,theta)) # 计算新的损失
i += 1
if stopType == STOP_ITER: value = i
elif stopType == STOP_COST: value = costs
elif stopType == STOP_GRAD: value = grad
if stopCriterion(stopType,value,thresh): break
return theta,i-1,costs,grad,time.time()-init_time
import numpy.random
# 洗牌
def shuffleData(data):
np.random.shuffle(data)
cols = data.shape[1]
X = data[:, 0:cols-1]
y = data[:, cols-1:]
return X, y
def runExpe(data, theta, batchSize, stopType, thresh, alpha):
#import pdb; pdb.set_trace();
theta, iter, costs, grad, dur = descent(data, theta, batchSize, stopType, thresh, alpha)
name = "Original" if (data[:,1]>2).sum() > 1 else "Scaled"
name += " data - learning rate: {} - ".format(alpha)
if batchSize==n: strDescType = "Gradient"
elif batchSize==1: strDescType = "Stochastic"
else: strDescType = "Mini-batch ({})".format(batchSize)
name += strDescType + " descent - Stop: "
if stopType == STOP_ITER: strStop = "{} iterations".format(thresh)
elif stopType == STOP_COST: strStop = "costs change < {}".format(thresh)
else: strStop = "gradient norm < {}".format(thresh)
name += strStop
print ("***{}\nTheta: {} - Iter: {} - Last cost: {:03.2f} - Duration: {:03.2f}s".format(
name, theta, iter, costs[-1], dur))
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12,4))
ax.plot(np.arange(len(costs)), costs, 'r')
ax.set_xlabel('Iterations')
ax.set_ylabel('Cost')
ax.set_title(name.upper() + ' - Error vs. Iteration')
return theta
# 选择的梯度下降方法是基于所有样本的
n=100
runExpe(orig_data, theta, n, STOP_ITER, thresh=5000, alpha=0.000001)
***Original data - learning rate: 1e-06 - Gradient descent - Stop: 5000 iterations
Theta: [[-0.00026672]
[ 0.00668449]
[ 0.00450233]] - Iter: 5000 - Last cost: 0.63 - Duration: 0.95s
array([[-0.00026672],
[ 0.00668449],
[ 0.00450233]])
# 根据损失值停止,设定阈值为1E-6
runExpe(orig_data, theta, n, STOP_COST, thresh=0.000001, alpha=0.001)
***Original data - learning rate: 0.001 - Gradient descent - Stop: costs change < 1e-06
Theta: [[-5.09232519]
[ 0.04627476]
[ 0.04185042]] - Iter: 109155 - Last cost: 0.38 - Duration: 20.83s
array([[-5.09232519],
[ 0.04627476],
[ 0.04185042]])
# 对比不同的梯度下降法
runExpe(orig_data, theta, 1, STOP_ITER, thresh=5000, alpha=0.001)
***Original data - learning rate: 0.001 - Stochastic descent - Stop: 5000 iterations
Theta: [[ nan]
[ nan]
[ nan]] - Iter: 5000 - Last cost: nan - Duration: 0.22s
array([[ nan],
[ nan],
[ nan]])
很不稳定,试试把学习率调小
runExpe(orig_data, theta, 1, STOP_ITER, thresh=15000, alpha=0.000002)
***Original data - learning rate: 2e-06 - Stochastic descent - Stop: 15000 iterations
Theta: [[ nan]
[ nan]
[ nan]] - Iter: 15000 - Last cost: nan - Duration: 1.12s
array([[ nan],
[ nan],
[ nan]])
速度快,但稳定性差,需要很小的学习率
runExpe(orig_data, theta, 16, STOP_ITER, thresh=15000, alpha=0.001)
***Original data - learning rate: 0.001 - Mini-batch (16) descent - Stop: 15000 iterations
Theta: [[-1.03569128]
[ 0.02012935]
[ 0.00863927]] - Iter: 15000 - Last cost: 0.56 - Duration: 1.16s
array([[-1.03569128],
[ 0.02012935],
[ 0.00863927]])
浮动仍然比较大,尝试下对数据进行标准化,将数据按其属性(按列进行)减去其均值,然后除以其方差。最后得到的结果是,对每个属性/每列来说所有数据都聚集在0附近,方差值为1
from sklearn import preprocessing as pp
scaled_data = orig_data.copy()
scaled_data[:, 1:3] = pp.scale(orig_data[:, 1:3])
runExpe(scaled_data, theta, n, STOP_ITER, thresh=5000, alpha=0.001)
***Scaled data - learning rate: 0.001 - Gradient descent - Stop: 5000 iterations
Theta: [[ 0.32653044]
[ 0.84802277]
[ 0.78686591]] - Iter: 5000 - Last cost: 0.38 - Duration: 1.02s
array([[ 0.32653044],
[ 0.84802277],
[ 0.78686591]])
原始数据,只能达到达到0.61,而现在到达0.4以下,所以对数据做预处理是非常重要的
runExpe(scaled_data, theta, n, STOP_GRAD, thresh=0.02, alpha=0.001)
***Scaled data - learning rate: 0.001 - Gradient descent - Stop: gradient norm < 0.02
Theta: [[ 1.10868347]
[ 2.57412148]
[ 2.41283358]] - Iter: 58762 - Last cost: 0.22 - Duration: 12.75s
array([[ 1.10868347],
[ 2.57412148],
[ 2.41283358]])
更多的迭代次数会使得损失下降的更多
runExpe(scaled_data, theta, 16, STOP_GRAD, thresh=0.002*2, alpha=0.001)
***Scaled data - learning rate: 0.001 - Mini-batch (16) descent - Stop: gradient norm < 0.004
Theta: [[ 1.07757538]
[ 2.51112557]
[ 2.34671716]] - Iter: 54137 - Last cost: 0.22 - Duration: 5.31s
array([[ 1.07757538],
[ 2.51112557],
[ 2.34671716]])
#设定阈值
def predict(X, theta):
return [1 if x >= 0.5 else 0 for x in model(X, theta)]
精度
scaled_X = scaled_data[:, :3]
y = scaled_data[:, 3]
predictions = predict(scaled_X, theta)
correct = [1 if ((a == 1 and b == 1) or (a == 0 and b == 0)) else 0 for (a, b) in zip(predictions, y)]
accuracy = (sum(map(int, correct)) % len(correct))
print ('accuracy = {0}%'.format(accuracy))
accuracy = 60%